Money Times Talk (MTTs) – 14/04/26

  • As per market veteran, foreign investor interest in India has weakened amid rich valuations, rupee concerns and geopolitical risks, especially from oil shocks. Investors are reallocating to markets like Japan, Taiwan, South Korea and Europe. Higher LTCG/STCG and increased STT from April have also reduced India’s relative attractiveness for FPIs.

 

  • Setback for SpiceJet as a UK High Court directs the airline to pay dues to an engine lessor, leading to a financial hit of about Rs.70 cr.

 

  • Psychology facts about traders: Most traders form their bias within minutes of market open and spend the day trying to justify it. Calm traders during volatility often hold the strongest discipline, while many traders end up chasing losses or trying to recover previous trades. The market usually punishes stubbornness more than hesitation.

 

  • UBS management expects inflation to rise above 5% in FY26–27. Persistently high oil prices could push the economy toward stagflation, while India’s upper inflation tolerance band remains close to 6%.

 

  • As per market veteran, India’s demographic outlook remains strong but rising oil prices, pressure on currency reserves and West Asia tensions may dent corporate profitability. The current ceasefire until 22nd April 2026 still leaves uncertainty high, while rising packaging, logistics and supply chain costs may keep inflationary pressures elevated.

 

  • Motilal Oswal Financial Services view earnings downgrades are increasing across sectors. Q4FY26 earnings growth estimate cut from 14% to 10%, with mid and small caps seeing sharper cuts than large caps, indicating broader caution ahead.

 

  • Few investment rules for uncertain times: Treat 2026 as a capital protection year rather than aggressive growth. Maintain 12–18 months of emergency funds, avoid debt for equity investing and focus on strong, stable companies. Keep 20–30% cash in portfolio to utilise corrections, diversify across sectors and invest gradually with discipline instead of chasing quick gains.

 

MT | Money Times

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