Oil prices remained almost unchanged early Tuesday as markets absorbed the implications of the OPEC+ decision to press pause on major output increases in the first quarter of 2026, despite lingering concerns about a possible oversupply.
Brent crude futures dipped by USD 0.09 (0.1%) to USD 64.80 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) fell by USD 0.10 (0.2%) to USD 60.95 a barrel.
The OPEC+ group agreed to a modest production increase for December but held off on larger hikes in the following quarter, interpreting some signs of excess supply in the global market.
Analysts at Bank of America pointed out that the decision signals OPEC+ wants to avoid sending prices tumbling much below USD 50, which could trigger more volatile moves.
Meanwhile, senior officials from major energy firms and the U.S. Department of Energy indicated that they do not forecast a full-scale oil glut in 2026, countering previous bearish supply outlooks.
One key factor in OPEC+’s decision stems from pressure from Russia, constrained by Western sanctions, making further export growth difficult — which in turn influenced the output pause.
Going forward, traders are closely watching upcoming U.S. inventory data, including weekly crude stock levels, for additional signals about near-term direction in the oil market.
In summary, the oil market is in a waiting game — with the supply-side pause offering a potential floor for prices, yet the broader demand and inventory dynamics continue to inject uncertainty.


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