Data Watch NSE: 25839 – 10/12/25

1. FIIs’ net long is at 10.78
2. PCR is at 0.66
3. VIX is at 10.95 (-1.62%)
4. FIIs sold Rs. 3760 cr in cash segment, Rs. 758.60 cr in index futures and Rs. 1363.60 cr in stock futures; DIIs bought Rs. 6224.90 cr
5. Open Interest Position
   A. FIIs booked profit in 2439 lots and created shorts in 1530 lots
   B. DIIs booked profit in 1174 lots and covered shorts in 1750 lots
   C. Retail clients added 6657 long lots and created 3097 short lots
   D. PRO bought 5330 lots and created shorts in 5497 lots
6. FIIs sold Nifty futures worth Rs. 632.85 cr and Bank Nifty futures worth Rs. 180 cr

Note

FIIs increased short positions and their net long has fallen to 10.78% from 12.08%. FIIs sold Rs. 632.85 cr in Nifty futures and Rs. 180 cr in Bank Nifty futures.
PCR is at 0.66 — any further dip will push PCR into a high oversold zone, triggering a dead-cat bounce.
VIX cooled to 10.95.

Overall data suggests Nifty may bounce if any dip comes around 25730–25700. Nifty remains weaker than Bank Nifty.

Intraday Scenarios

Scenario 1:
If Nifty breaks above 25930, we may see short covering up to 25996–26048.
SL: 25883

Scenario 2:
If Nifty breaks below 25787, more panic may trigger and Nifty may slip to 25735–25683.
SL: 25840

Scenario 3:
If Nifty slips to 25730–25683, buy in two tranches with SL at 25631 for targets 25856–25930.