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August 19, 2025
- Daily Morning Report Date: 19.08.2025
- NIFTY OUTLOOK: 24876.95 FII 550.85 cr DII 4103.81 cr
- As discussed yesterday, market behaviour remained on expected lines, with Nifty continuing its short-term bullish sentiment and rallying up to 25022. A bearish candle with an upper shadow indicates selling pressure at higher levels. On a decisive breakdown of 24821, Nifty may slip to 24765–24710, and if supply increases further, it could test 24654.
- On the other hand, the gap-up opening highlights bull strength. If Nifty holds this gap and crosses 24933, it may rally to 24989–25045, with further potential to test 25100 if demand persists.
- Bank Nifty Outlook:
- Spot: 55734.90 | PCR: 0.71 | Max CE OI: 57000 | Max PE OI: 57000
- On 18th August 2025, Bank Nifty closed at 55734.90, up 393.05 points (0.71%).
- The index moved 508.65 points during the session, hitting a high of 56156.30 and a low of 55647.65.
- Technical View:
- Key support is at 55100 and resistance at 56000. Intraday support is seen at 55600 and resistance at 56014.
- Intraday Strategy:
- Go long above 55875 with stop loss 55828 and target 56015
- Go short below 55590 with stop loss 55640 and target 55455
- The RSI stands at 47.70 (below 30 is oversold, above 70 overbought).
- Bank nifty Day SMA Analysis:
- Bank nifty is trading above 5 out of 8 SMA’s (5,10,100, 150, 200 Day).
- Bank nifty is trading below 3 out of 8 SMA’s. (20, 30, 50 Day)
- One Bullish candlestick Pattern was identified in bank nifty.
- • Three Outside Uptrend
- Macros:
- 1.Dollar index @ 98.02
- 2.Vix @ 14.99 ( -0.66% )
- 3.Brent crude @ 66.30
- 4.U.S. 10 years bond yield @ 4.336
- Note
- Conclusion: Tariffs have started to show their effect on the ground in the U.S. Producer prices rose the most in three years in July amid a surge in the cost of goods and services, signaling a broader pickup in inflation.
- The Producer Price Index jumped 0.9% in July, with strong gains in both services and goods. Economists now expect tariffs to soon drive up inflation further. Weekly jobless claims also fell by 3,000 to 224,000, indicating resilience in the labor market. The stronger-than-expected producer inflation report from the Labor Department followed earlier data showing consumers faced higher prices for services like dental care and airline fares. Importantly, there are no visible signs of deeper labor market weakness in early August. All this poses a real dilemma for the Federal Reserve on its next move.
- Tariff pressures have also triggered a geopolitical shift, with India and China appearing closer on the trade front. Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi emphasized the need for both nations to establish a "correct strategic understanding" and view each other as partners rather than rivals. India, which relies heavily on China for some critical supplies, may see easing of those bottlenecks in the coming days.
- On the domestic front, Indian equities are cheering the big tax reforms announced by the Prime Minister on 15th August. Momentum is picking up further after the PM’s meeting with top economists yesterday to discuss fast-tracking the reforms. More measures are expected, keeping the market buoyant.
- We expect some more short covering, and buying on support will remain the mantra. Please follow our index review for specific levels.
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- Data watch
- 1.Fiis net long 9.7 % (Highly oversold).
- 2.Fiis bought 550.85 cr in cash segment, bought 2191.39 cr in index and 4077.05 in stock fut
- 3.Vix @ 12.34 (-0.16%)
- 4.Pcr @ 0.87 (weekly) , 1.08 (monthly)
- Note: Fiis net long position is @ 9.7 % still in highly over sold zone. After restless selling by Fiis a small buying in Cash market was seen as well some short were covered in Index & stock. Still Huge short are there in the system which may get covered in days to come.
- We mentioned many times in last 10-12 days lower Vix & fiis net long indicating shorts will be covered soon , Now 25133 will be immediate hurdle if nifty able to close above 25133 ( mark my words nifty shorts will cover & will go up to 25380-25450.
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- Contributed by
- Ashok bhandari : INH000019549
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- Trump's meeting with Zelenskiy is over, according to the White House pool.
- Trump and Zelenskyy are en route to meet European leaders.
- Trump To European Leaders: I think we'll have a successful talk.
- Been a very successful day thus far.
- I will call Putin after this meeting and we'll try to work out trilat after that.
- Trump: Alaska summit reinforced that peace is within reach.
- Trump: Putin agreed Russia would accept security guarantees. We'll be considering who will do what.
- Trump: Need to discuss possible territory exchanges.
- Trump: We will need to consider land too.
- Ceasefire isn't happening as of this moment.
- Trump: I don't know that a ceasefire is necessary, but I like it.
- Ukraine’s President Zelenskiy: Trump will try to organise a trilateral meeting. Ukraine would be happy if Trump were there.
- Trump: We'll come to resolution, probably, on security.
- A peace agreement at the end of this is attainable.
- I think we will come to a resolution today.
- Trump: You'll see Putin that would really like to do something
- Trump on the trilateral meeting: We'll set it up today after the meeting.
- Trump: We'll be meeting for a while.
- No issue is overly complex.
- Putin wants to find an answer too.
- You have two willing parties who want to make a deal.
- Trump: It's possible it will or won't be done.
- Trump on Russia-Ukraine: In a week or two, we'll know whether we can solve this.
- TRUMP ON THE TRILATERAL MEETING: WE'LL SET IT UP TODAY AFTER THE MEETING
- TRUMP STARTS A MEETING WITH ZELENSKYY AND EUROPEAN LEADERS BEHIND CLOSED DOORS
- Jeena Sikho
- Unit Economics of a 100 bed facility
- While it takes a total of ~3crs to set up a hospital
- But the Breakeven Level of 35% Occupancy is unbelievable
- Whole Investment is paid of just within 6 months
- Amazing business!!!
- Germany's Merz: Putin-Zelenskiy meeting to occur within 2 weeks
- Ukraine cannot be forced into territorial concessions
- @beatthestreet10
- Zelenskiy on : It Was Our Best Meeting With Trump
- Importance Ukraine has peace, not just pause
- Discussed security guarantees as key topic
- Zelenskiy believes this is a big step forward
- Zelenskiy Trump Backs Return of All Prisoners from Russia
- @beatthestreet10
- Zelenskiy: No unacceptable decisions at talks todayZelenskiy: no unacceptable decisions at talks today
- Zelenskiy Trump Proposed Trilateral Talks After Bilateral
- NATO's Rutte to Putin, Zelenskiy will now discuss meeting
- Rutte will work on security guarantees in the coming days
- @beatthestreet10
- US Secretary of State Rubio: Security guarantee in place after peace deal
- Each side must make concessions to end war
- @beatthestreet10
- Govt temporarily exempts Cotton imports from customs duty
- BERNSTEIN ON AXIS BANK
- Maintains Outperform; Cuts Target Price To ₹1,250 From ₹1,330
- Experienced Stagnation Over The Past 1-2 Years
- Remain Hopeful Of Near-Term Improvement In Asset Quality And At Least Stable Deposit Market Share
- Assumptions That Are Sufficient To Support The Case For A Value Buy At Current Valuations
- JEFFERIE ON PLASTIC PIPE
- DGTR Has Recommended ADD On Imports Of S-PVC Resin From Various Countries For 5-Year
- India Imports 45-50% Of Total PVC Demand, Majority From China
- Lower Duties Are Recommended For Other Countries
- ADD Imposition Could Arrest Fall In PVC Price & Aid Channel Restocking
- MORGAN STANLEY ON INDIA STRATEGY
- Earnings Growth Improved Sequentially In Q1, Marking A Recovery
- Beat Was Driven By Stronger-Than-Expected Revenue Growth; Exceeded Low Analyst Expectations
- Beat On The Top Line While Margin Expansion In-Line With Expectations
- Earnings Growth & Breadth Improved Sequentially While Relative Stock Performance Declined QoQ
- Earnings For The Broad Market Were In-Line With With Narrow Indices
- News Headlines from Business News Agencies:*
- *Business Standard*
- India Inc growth stuck in slow lane; core earnings shrink in Q1FY26
- SAEL Industries signs 880 MW solar power PPAs in Gujarat, Punjab
- IPO-bound Tata Capital profit more than doubles to ₹1,041 cr in June qtr
- Glenmark, Alembic Pharma, Sun Pharma recall drugs in US, says USFDA
- IBM opens Mumbai client centre to support Maharashtra's quantum push
- KEC International wins new orders worth ₹1,402-crore
- Delhi's Nehru Place to get 500-room luxury hotel under ₹10,000 cr DDA deal
- CleanMax to raise ₹5,200 cr via IPO; DRHP filed with Sebi for approval
- Table Space leases 5 lakh sq. ft office space in Gurugram for ₹3.5 cr/month
- WazirX secures majority creditors' nod for revised scheme of arrangement
- Scanty monsoon rain in past fortnight begins to hurt kharif crops
- *Economic Times*
- India’s unemployment rate for July declines to 5.2% from 5.6% in the previous month
- IHCL signs pact with Madison for 10 new hotels in South India
- Indian Oil to start SAF production in December
- Hindustan Zinc to set up 10 MTA tailings reprocessing plant at Rs 3,823 cr
- Goldman Sachs expands Mumbai presence with new office
- Apple rents 2.7 lakh sq ft office space in Bengaluru, to pay Rs 1,000 crore in 10 years
- Reliance enters herbal beverage market, acquires majority stake in Naturedge Beverages
- Maruti Suzuki chair calls India’s GST overhaul a ‘huge reform’, says cuts will boost competitiveness
- Paradeep Phosphates targets Rs 1,500 crore expansion to double market share by FY26
- L&T building up agility, tech, capex for new focus
- Alembic gets USFDA nod for generic drug for skin condition
- *Mint*
- Telcos operating profit likely to grow 12-14 pc this fiscal on data surge: Crisil Ratings
- Ericsson misusing insolvency code for coercion & debt recovery, RCom tells NCLT
- BSNL slips back in the red after two straight profitable quarters
- NaBFID sanctions loans worth ₹2.3 lakh cr to 232 infra projects
- German Bank PBB Eyes SRT to Help Exit US Commercial Property
- POSCO, JSW Steel plan $8-9 bn Odisha plant in high-stakes joint venture
- JP Morgan, Commerzbank and ING to Back European Defense Bank
- SaaS unicorn LeadSquared shifts focus to BFSI, aims for 50% revenue contribution
- Emkay Global raises Nifty 50 target to 28,000 on GST reforms
- MTNL defaults on loan repayments touch a whopping ₹8,700 crore
- Marksans Pharma Arm gets UK Health Regulator nod for Metformin Hydrochloride Relonchem tablets