Meesho, Aequs or Vidya Wires: Which IPO Holds the Strongest Listing Potential?

CompanyBusiness / SectorSize of IPO (approx)What stands outRisk / What investors should watch out
MeeshoE-commerce / value-commerce (mass-market)₹5,421 crore • Huge user-base & scale; strong demand, high grey-market premium (GMP ~ 38–40%) suggests big listing hope
• Believed to have long-term growth potential, especially targeting tier-2/3 markets and value-sensitive consumers
• Still not consistently profitable (losses reported), though free-cash flow is improving
• High expectations baked in — any mis-step may lead to volatility
Aequs LtdPrecision aerospace / manufacturing (global aircraft parts)₹922 crore • Plays in aerospace manufacturing (supplying to global aircraft makers) — a niche, high-entry barrier business
• Some analysts say it offers better balance of growth + clarity compared to “hyped” tech plays
• Company has had losses for a few years; depends heavily on global demand, long product cycles and cycles in aerospace industry
• More suitable for investors comfortable with risk and a long-term horizon
Vidya WiresManufacturing — copper/conductor wires & related products~₹300 crore • Most “stable” among three: established business, predictable demand, less hype — simpler business model
• Lower valuation expectations, which may mean lower downside risk.
• Possibly limited upside — low grey-market premium (~8%), modest listing gains expected
• Not very glamorous; slow-growth manufacturing — may not attract investors looking for big returns

What the Markets & Experts Are Saying (Pre-Listing)

  • According to reports, Meesho shows the strongest investor interest going into listing: grey-market premium (GMP) around 38%–40%, suggesting strong expected listing gains.
  • Aequs also enjoys decent GMP (~28%), and some analysts believe it may be the most balanced pick among the three — a company with industrial business, global buyers, and long-term potential rather than short-term hype.
  • Vidya Wires shows relatively muted GMP (~8%), indicating less listing-day optimism; it’s seen as the most conservative, stable — but unlikely to deliver explosive gains.
  • Experts tend to highlight: Meesho if you want potential short-term listing gains + long-term growth, Aequs if you can stomach risk and want a longer-term industrial growth story, and Vidya Wires if you prefer stability and lower volatility.

✅ Which IPO Fits Which Investor Profile

  • Looking for listing-day gains or willing to ride volatility?Meesho — high scale, high interest, possibility of big jump on listing.
  • Willing to bet on a long-term industrial / manufacturing growth story (with higher risk tolerance)?Aequs Ltd — aerospace-linked, potential for good upside if global demand holds.
  • Prefer lower risk, steady business, conservative choice?Vidya Wires — stable, simpler business, reasonable downside risk, but modest upside.

⚠️ What to Watch Out For (Risks Across the Board)

  • Grey-market premium (GMP) is not a guarantee — it reflects sentiment, not fundamentals. Once listed, actual demand and performance matters.
  • IPO valuations may already include high expectations. If macro environment sours, consumer demand dips or global economy slows (for manufacturing plays), gains may erode quickly.
  • For newer or unprofitable companies (like Meesho, Aequs) — profitability, cash flow sustainability, execution (supply chain, costs, demand) will be critical.

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