Money Times Talk (MTTs) – 21/03/26

  • Tata group stocks have corrected sharply from highs. Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) about −87%, Tejas Networks −67%, Nelco −60%, Tata Elxsi −60%, Automotive Stampings −60%, Tata Technologies −60%, Tata Chemicals −50%, TCS −45%, Tata Investment Corporation −45%, Tata Motors −40%, Rallis India −35%, Indian Hotels −33%, Tata Communications −33%, Voltas −25% and Tata Power −23%.
  • Geopolitical risks remain elevated. Reports suggest Iran may continue the closure of the Strait of Hormuz while tensions escalate across West Asia. Analysts warn crude could surge towards $150 per barrel if the disruption continues, which may pressure global markets. As per market grapevine, if tensions persist, Nifty may test or break the April 2025 low while redemption pressure in equity mutual funds could rise.
  • ADAG-linked stocks may face pressure after enforcement authorities provisionally attached immovable properties worth about Rs.582 cr. linked to Anil Ambani.
  • As per war expert analyst, the US appears to be struggling to gain an upper hand in the conflict with Iran. The war may end only if the US changes the regime in Iran or Iran surrenders, which currently seems unlikely. Iran’s strongest leverage remains energy markets, particularly control over the Strait of Hormuz, through which nearly 30% of global oil and about 40% of gas supply flows. Despite multiple attempts by the US to cool prices — including statements that the war is over, insurance support for vessels passing through Hormuz, release of about 573 million barrels of oil reserves and increased imports from Russia — crude prices remain about 50–60% higher than before the conflict. As per this view, oil and gas prices will remain the key indicators of the war’s direction. If prices stay elevated it signals Iran’s advantage, while a decline may indicate easing tensions. Oil and gas may cool only after a ceasefire, which could eventually support gold while putting pressure on the dollar.
  • Astro junction view: The alignment of Sun, Mercury, Rahu and Mars in Aquarius between mid-February and early April 2026 is seen as a highly volatile planetary configuration, with the period around 13–16 March considered particularly intense. Such alignments are often associated with heightened global tensions and volatility, suggesting the current phase could remain uncertain until early April.

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