Money Times Talk (MTTs) – 26/09/26

  • Very big negative for equity and mutual fund investors: Goldman Sachs expects another Fed rate hike in October, while the Fed dot plot signals higher-for-longer rates, with 12 of 18 officials expecting another 25-bp hike by year-end. Continued rate pressure could weigh on equities and SIP sentiment over the next 2-3 months.

 

  • Businesses with the highest failure rates: Trading (98%). 2. Hotels (90%). 3. Gyms (81%). 4. Restaurants (80%). 5. Construction (70%). 6. E-commerce/Dropshipping (90%). 7. Cafés/Coffee Shops (85%). 8. Influencer Agencies (85%). 9. Logistics/Trucking (80%). 10. Retail Stores (75%). 11. Crypto Trading (95%). 12. Content Agencies (70%).

 

  • Astro tension: Rahu remains in Dhanishta Nakshatra till 5th December 2026 and Saturn remains retrograde till 11th December 2026. As per astrology view, this period may bring wild volatility, unexpected sharp rises and sudden falls, creating stress for traders and investors. Reduce F&O and options trading, avoid overtrading and leverage, and strictly avoid margin trading and investment funding (MTF) till December 2026.

 

  • As per market veteran, recency bias is one of the biggest enemies of traders and investors, especially near market peaks. Smallcaps, midcaps, SME IPOs, Defence, Railways, Solar, new-age stocks, EMS, chemicals and data-centre themes were once market favourites, but interest has now shifted. Base metals, PSU Banks and bullion are currently among the running themes. The lesson is simple: anything in excess can become harmful. The frenzy in SME and highly overpriced main-board IPOs has destroyed significant retail wealth, with Ola Electric Mobility and many other IPOs now trading well below their issue prices. Always prioritise capital protection and plan for sustainable earnings rather than chasing the latest theme.

 

  • Ambica Agarbathies Aroma & Industries reported 604% higher FY26 PAT and an optimistic FY27 outlook. Promoters were allotted 8.49 lakh shares at Rs.25 on 25th August 2026, signalling confidence in future prospects. Stock looks attractive at CMP versus high of Rs.48.

 

  • Atlanta Electricals secured Rs.193.92 cr. and Rs.285 cr. orders, taking backlog to Rs.3,117 cr. Q1FY27 EBITDA/PAT grew 58%/50%, while Rs.340 cr. long-term debt was repaid. Capacity expansion and better product mix support FY27 growth. Stock looks attractive at CMP versus 52-week high of Rs.2,200. AGM is on 21st September 2026.

 

MT | Money Times

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