Market Highlights
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February 28, 2024
- *Jefferies on Bharti Airtel*
- Buy, TP Rs 1300
- Analysis of TRAI data suggests that Bharti Hexacom is favorably placed as:
- (1) its markets have historically grown 3-5 ppts faster vs. Rest of India (ROI) & their lower teledensity offers longer growth runway;
- (2) it may see higher market gains given Bharti's superior execution and VIL's weak positioning;
- (3) translation of tariff hikes into ARPU has been better here (17% ARPU Cagr vs 12% Cagr in ROI)
- *CLSA on Voda Idea*
- Sell, TP Rs 5
- Board approves $2.4bn equity raise
- Co has been in talks with potential investors, but fund raising is still pending
- Expect financial crunch in FY26CL when annual spectrum & AGR payments will be due
- Over 12M, VI has lost 120bps rev market share
- *Nomura on Voda Idea*
- Reduce, TP Rs 6.5
- A change of fortunes is now on cards
- VIL puts in place plans to raise up to Rs 450bn
- Repair, recovery & rolling out 5G key monitorables after VIL secures funding
- If VIL is able to bring in external investors, it would be a significant +ve
- *MS on Telecom*
- VIL's BoD approved a potential fund-raise of $5.5bn, including equity/equity-linked instruments of $2.4bn.
- If it closes, see current market structure continuing near term, & increasing conviction on industry being in repair phase with potential increase in tariffs
- *CLSA on Vedanta*
- Upgrade to U-P from Sell, TP raised to Rs 260 from Rs 230
- Analyst day takeaways
- Indicated an Ebitda target of $6bn/US$7.5bn by FY25/27 (FY24: US$5bn) through capacity expansion, backward integration & value additions (largely in aluminium, base metals & power)
- With deleveraging, its capital allocation & corporate structure have been a focal point over past few years, & thus improvement in operational parameters will be key to a rerating
- *Jefferies on AAvas Fin*
- Buy, TP Rs 1900
- Management meet takeaways
- Mgmt indicated that multiple initiatives and completion of tech rollout should lift growth & productivity metrics.
- Mgmt expects CoF to inch up in 4Q. It has hiked lending rates by 25bps w.e.f March to cushion NIMs
- Focus is also on lifting mix of core lower ATS housing loans to boost yields.
- Mgmt expects opex intensity to ease over next few years and lift returns.
- *Jefferies on Max Fin*
- Buy, TP Rs 1200
- Max Life (81% owned by Max FS) is well-placed to deliver 17% Cagr in premium over FY24-26 as it leverages on ramp-up of agency & closer integration with Axis Bk.
- Dy MD of Axis Bank now is Chairman at Max Life & 3 board members are from Axis
- Clarity on norms on surrender charges are key & balanced view from regulator will likely abate concerns
- See healthy VNB Cagr of 18% between FY24-26 & vals. at 1.6x FY25 P/EV are at discount to peers
- *India Daybook – Stocks in News*
- *GE T&D:* Company bags orders worth Rs 370 cr from Power Grid. (Positive)
- *Indostar:* Brookfield, Florintree to invest ₹4,566 cr in Indostar Capital: (Positive)
- *Texmaco Rail:* Board approves fund Raising of Rs 150 cr through issue of 83.4 lakh warrants to promoter and non promoter on preferential basis (Positive)
- *Tanla Platforms:* Announce the launch of its new product Wisely ATP Spotlight (Positive)
- *Indus Towers/VI:* Vodafone Board approves Equity fund raising of upto Rs 20,000 Crores (Positive)
- *SJVN:* Company has commissioned 100 MW Raghanesda Solar Power Project located in district Banaskantha, Gujarat. (Positive)
- *HCL Tech:* Company sees surge in private 5G adoption across manufacturing and Greenfield sectors (Positive)
- *Salasar Techno:* Company gets order worth ₹200 cr from ZETWERK Business for supply of 25,000 mt of solar structures (Positive)
- *ICICI Lombard:* ICICI Bank buys 1.65% equity (approx. 81 lk shares) in ICICI Lombard General Insurance for ₹1,356 cr (Positive)
- *Godrej Ind:* Godrej Appliances anticipates its premium segment to increase sales turnover by as much as 20% in fiscal 2025. (Positive)
- *Torrent Power:* Company has emerged as a successful bidder and received a Letter of Intent from PFC Consulting for the establishment of an inter-state transmission scheme in Solapur (Positive)
- *JSW Energy:* Company has secured a Letter of Award from SJVN Ltd for a solar capacity project of 700 MW (Positive)
- *Tata Elxsi:* Company and Telefónica have implemented a cloud-native infrastructure management system powered by ETSI Open-Source MANO (Positive)
- *ONGC:* Proposal for formation of “ONGC Green Limited” as wholly owned subsidiary of the Company. (Positive)
- *TIPS Ind:* Board to meet to consider Buy Back of Shares (Positive)
- *NSE Indices:* Meeting of the Index Maintenance Sub-Committee to conduct periodic review of stocks (Neutral)
- *Exide Ind:* Invested Rs 24.99 Crores by way of subscription in the equity share capital of its wholly owned subsidiary, "Exide Energy Solutions Limited (Neutral)
- *Hind Zinc:* Incorporates “Hindmetal Exploration Services Private Limited with an objective to explore, discover, develop and tap mineral resources. (Neutral)
- *Titan:* Company purchased remaining 0.36% stake in Caratlane (Neutral)
- *Axis Bank:* RBI approves appointment of Munish Sharda as Executive Director of the bank for 3 year. (Neutral)
- *Gland Pharma:* Appoints Alain Kirchmeyer as President of arm Phixen S.A.S. (Cenexi) (Neutral)
- *ZEEL:* Company board renamed the independent advisory panel as the independent investigation committee. (Neutral)
- *Finolex Cables:* Company said to delist its global depository receipts (Neutral)
- *KSB Limited:* Board meeting to consider quarterly results (Neutral)
- *Venus Pipes:* Board to meet to Fund Raising Via Equity or Debt (Neutral)
- *Swan Energy:* Board to meet to consider and determine the Issue Price for QIP (Neutral)
- *PSB:* Board to meet to consider Fund Raising Aggregating Rs 2000 Crores Via Share Issue. (Neutral)
- *Capital SFB:* Net Profit up 2.1% at ₹28.9 cr vs ₹28.3 cr YoY. Gross NPA at 2.97% vs 2.73% (Negative)
- *Patanjali:* The Supreme Court served a contempt notice to Patanjali Ayurved for issuing misleading advertisements about health cures (Negative)