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Money Times Talk

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April 14, 2025

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As per astrology view, some important turning dates are 15, 17, 21, 25 & 28th April 2025
As per market veteran, this isn’t a market to rely purely on technicals—global news flow will drive sharp, unpredictable swings. Fundamentals matter more now & till Q1FY26 results, it’s about managing risk and learning from past mistakes rather than trying to predict every move. Staying informed and disciplined is key in such volatility.
Peter Lynch rightly said—market dips are normal, like winter in cold climates. Just as summer eventually returns, markets recover too. Successful investing is about staying calm during downturns, having conviction in quality stocks, and understanding that volatility is part of the journey—not the end of it.
SEBI’s stricter oversight on influencers and financial firms is a step toward greater transparency and investor protection—short-term revenue loss may hurt, but long-term credibility will likely grow.
As per market grapevine, tariff war uncertainty may linger for 7–9 months; smart money is exiting newly listed, overpriced micro, mini, kachra caps and overvalued small-midcaps only 10–15% may survive as good businesses at wrong prices rarely reward.
As per market grapevine, sharp global corrections like 1987, 2008, or 2020 are rare but offer lifetime opportunities. These are not ordinary dips—they're recalibrations. While short-term caution persists and froth in US markets cools off, this phase signals consolidation. Long-term investors should stay calm, selective and focus on fundamentally strong businesses as the base-building phase gains ground.
As per market veteran, staying the course matters—be it in cricket or investing. Just like leg-spin tests patience and conviction, markets too test your resolve. There will be days of self-doubt, pain and panic, but resilience pays. Portfolios may bleed, but these phases often shape disciplined investors. This is what you signed up for—the long road. The only certainty in markets is uncertainty.
Global slowdown signals are clear and the ‘old normal’ may not return for years. Focus on capital preservation, stay updated, and beware of noisy influencers pushing blind optimism. Real clarity may emerge only after Q1FY26 results.
BSE-NSE has just 6 working days left before April expiry—markets shut on 14th April (Ambedkar Jayanti) and 18th April (Good Friday). Sessions on 15th, 16th, 17th, 21st, 22nd, 23rd with expiry on 24th April. Insane volatility expected—only those who can ride sharp swings should trade others risk getting caught on the wrong side.
Despite short-term shakiness, India’s core remains solid—Brent fall is a win, Nifty near fair value, FDI flows strong, D/E at 15-yr low, RBI pumped in Rs.4L cr., FY26 earnings may grow 12-14%, and with NPAs falling to 3% and PMI > 55, the macro setup stays firmly bullish.
As per market grapevine, Q4 numbers of TCS and Anand Rathi missed estimates; 90-95% of results may disappoint posing serious pressure on bulls.
As per market grapevine, Trump may have miscalculated China’s strength—this is 2025’s China, not 1995’s. USD already corrected from 110 to 100; 95-90 levels can’t be ruled out.
As per market grapevine, mutual funds face internal leadership-strategy conflicts and aren’t guiding small investors effectively. Govt. may intervene soon; DIPAM meet with MFs is scheduled next week in Mumbai. A stronger investor disclosure framework and unified investor voice is the need of the hour.
New entry in Thomas Scott as Ashish Kacholia and Suresh Agrawal pick up 2.43% stake each via pref. issue at Rs.320.
The best investment you can make is in yourself. Acquire knowledge, skills & experiences that will pay dividends for a lifetime. Jeremiah Say.
As per market grapevine, BSE website remains too slow during result season; urgent action needed to boost bandwidth, else analysts and investors may struggle to track Q4 data efficiently.
As per market veteran, Q4 numbers and FY25-26 guidance will steer near-term market direction and stock-specific trends.
As per market veteran, global concerns around China and the US, along with gold at new highs and crude at lows, make FDs safer short-term; long-term equity bets should follow Q4 results and FY26 outlook.
As per market grapevine, only 7 sessions left for April expiry; experts say markets are oversold—next week to reveal if bulls or bears take charge.
China warns of strong retaliation against US tariffs, calling it a paper tiger; rising geopolitical tensions may hurt corporate profitability and add to global uncertainty.

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