Money Times Talk
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May 19, 2025
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- As per astrology view, some important turning dates are 19, 22, 26, 29 & 30th May 2025.
- As per market grapevine, wild targets like Oil at $150 or Sensex at 1,05,000 are pure noise. Such claims seem aimed at misleading and creating false narratives, with no accountability—even from regulators.
- As per market veteran, this isn't a market for just technicals—fundamentals matter more now. Volatility is intense; levels are made to be broken. Nifty's swift moves from 26k to 21.8k and back to 25k in 40 days highlight the shrinking gap between 52-week highs and lows—a trend likely to intensify.
- As per market grapevine, markets stayed flat from Sept 2024 to May 2025. With 9 months of limbo done, a strong 7–10 month rally could be ahead.
- As per market grapevine Operation Sindoor showcased India's defence strength—neutralising 500 drones and striking deep with precision. Global interest surged with Russia proposing S-500 co-manufacturing. India may now tap major export potential in South East Asia, Europe and Africa where cost-efficiency and performance stand out. With inflation easing and geopolitical tensions cooling, another rate cut seems likely.
- As per market veteran, ceasefire news triggered a surprise 3,000-point Sensex rally—double expectations—prompting brief corrections. Nifty broke 25000 twice while shorts trapped at 24000 for mere 300 points are now paying the price of 3000, a classic street tale.
- Moody’s downgrades US credit rating for the first time over rising debt burden; Debt-to-GDP may hit 134% by 2035 and interest outgo could consume 30% of revenue. Global market volatility may rise, say market veterans.
- Fresh Covid wave grips Asia—sharp rise in Hong Kong and Singapore cases triggers health alert. Demand for Ibuprofen, Paracetamol, and diagnostics may surge again.
- Alert: As per market grapevine, SME stocks like Rajesh Power, DESCO, AVP Infra, Exhicon, Positron, KCEIL posted strong numbers, yet stocks didn’t move—real action likely happened silently, much before the results hit the screen.
- As per market grapevine, new SME cycle: Before result > price up > dump > Stagnation
- This is how it works now: 1. HNIs buy early using projections or con-call cues. 2. Stock runs up 30–50% pre-result. 3. Stock runs up 30-50% before the results. 4. Retail enters late, thinking rally starts now. 5. Retail sees the result, thinks, “Now the real run will start.” 6. HNIs silently exit. 7. Stock dips 5–10%, retail panic selling. 8. Stock consolidates for months.
- In 26th April MTT, NSE SME Alpex Solar given at Rs.790 touched Rs. 869, Anantraj given at Rs.459 touched Rs.517, Gulf Petro given at Rs.38 touched Rs.44, HAL given at Rs.4201 touched Rs.5166, India Pesticides given at Rs.148 touched Rs.172 & now at Rs.166 still looks very good.
- In 3rd May MTTs, BMW given at Rs.46 touched Rs.57, HAL given at Rs.4492 touched Rs.5166, IOLCP given at Rs.64 touched Rs.81 & still looks very good, India Pesticides given at Rs.141 touched Rs.167 & still looks very good, IRCON given at Rs.153 touched Rs.192, RBL given at Rs.200 touched Rs.215, RAILTEL given at Rs.316 touched Rs.393 during the week.
- Last week in 10TH May MTTs, Biocon given at Rs.330 touched Rs.344, Cords Cable given at Rs.164 touched Rs.208, DCM Shriram given at Rs.993 touched Rs.1051, Gujarat Terce Lab given at Rs.54 touched Rs.62 & still now at Rs.58 looks very good, Hind Rectifiers given at Rs.910 touched Rs.1142, Kalyani Steel given at Rs.719 touched Rs.842, Lambodhara given at Rs.131 touched Rs.148, Nath Ind. given at Rs.73 touched Rs.81, Nitta Gelatin given at Rs.740 touched Rs.779, Patel Eng given at Rs.41 touched Rs.46, Reliance Power given at Rs.38.60 touched Rs.45 & still looks very good, SNL Bearing given at Rs.372 touched Rs.389, Talbros Eng. given at Rs.557 touched Rs.664 during the week.