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June 22, 2023
- *ANTIQUE ON JSW ENERGY*
- Double Upgrade To Buy, Target Rs 316
- Co. on way to commission 10 GW by FY25 (half of its FY30 target)
- 10 GW commissioning by FY25 will yield 7500-8000cr in EBITDA
- Making rapid strides in energy storage-from battery, pumped hydro storage & green hydrogen
- JSW will touch 8000cr EBITDA by end of FY25E
- Mytrah's run-rate EBITDA is on its way to INR 1650cr
- Acquisition val look like a 6.4x EV/EBITDA, as against 7x EV/EBITDA for a greenfield project
- *Jefferies on Shriram Fin*
- Upgrade to buy, TP raised to Rs 2130
- Upgrade as stakes sale by PIEL& TPG removes a key equity supply overhang
- Favourable used-CV outlook & growth in SCUF's loan products by leveraging SHTF's wider distribution should drive a 15% loan CAGR in FY23-26E
- *MOSL on Tube Investment*
- Buy, TP Rs 3560
- Recovery in Eng. biz expected in FY24
- EV businesses moving from investment to commercialization phase
- Eng. biz to grow in double digits, with scope of margin expansion
- Metal Formed biz to grow 10%
- Cycle biz to recover in FY24
- *CLSA on IDFC First BK*
- Downgrade to U-P from Buy, TP raised to Rs 85 from Rs 80
- Has been 1 of best performers on a YTD basis
- While like bank’s compelling growth story, think val, at 1.8x 1-yr forward PB, do not fully reflect unfinished journey on ROE improvement
- *GS on Emami*
- Buy, TP Rs 500
- FY24 plays on twin tailwinds of improving rural demand & moderating input costs
- Believe EBITDA growth over FY23-25 likely to be significantly higher than past 6-7 yrs
- Weak summers will dampen pickup in 1Q, but non-summer portfolio see healthy growth
- *Nomura on Banks*
- At the cusp of a multi-year credit cycle
- expect banks to deliver 17% RoEs over FY24-25F, with 18% loan CAGR for private banks
- Top picks -ICICI Bank, Axis Bank & Indusind Bank
- Downgrade AU Bank to reduce, TP Rs 650
- *MS on IT*
- View risk to F24 consensus est. as greatest for Tech M, TCS, & MphasiS & relatively lower for HCLT, & LTIM Downgrade Cyient to EW – TP Rs 1500 following strong outperformance, have ltd comfort on vals
- Prefer large-caps over midcaps
- Preferred picks- INFY, HCLT & LTIM
- *CLSA on OCMs*
- Strong profits may continue
- Expect auto fuel price cuts only in 2HFY24
- Prefer BPCL & IOCL
- Sub-US$90/bbl crude is favourable for them even as a large share of discounted imports from Russia may remain an added tailwind