Money Times Talk
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April 22, 2025
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- European Central Bank delivered its 7th rate cut in a year, with two more likely in 2025, but global uncertainties & tariffs may tighten financial conditions, said President Christine Lagarde.
- What to do when global markets are falling: 1. Don’t panic sell — corrections are part of the journey. 2. If you have cash, deploy gradually in phases. 3. No spare cash? Just hold tight. Patience pays. 4. Market moves are out of control — stay emotionally stable. 5. Sports help reset the mind — cricket, badminton, running, anything. 6. Stay invested with a long-term view — time in the market matters. 7. Meditate, cut down news, read, travel, connect with loved ones — protect your mental health. 8. Avoid frequent portfolio checks — most mistakes happen in panic. Simple steps, but proven by many seasoned investors.
- Hot topics like LTCG, STCG, ASM and ESM fade quickly — now it’s Trump tariffs. Markets move on, so focus on stocks, asset allocation, and long-term strategy.
- As per market grapevine, bulls avoid high buys, bears are stuck, and the rest wait for Trump tweets — only those who held through panic emerged winners. India fully rebounded post April 2nd tariffs, with Nifty up 8.84% in 7 days. But small/mid/micro caps & SME stocks remain pricey — be selective as 2025 may not match 2024 returns. Early Q4 results have been weak and 80–90% of companies may miss expectations.
- As per market veteran wait for full Q4 results and FY25–26 guidance before making fresh investment decisions.
- One more pump-and-dump story: Gensol Engg crashed from Rs.1376 to Rs.117; SEBI stepped in after the collapse. Promoters allegedly diverted funds post NSE mainboard shift. Avoid unknown high-PE SME stocks.
- Vijay Kedia warns: Many 'Gensol' stories may still be hiding. Watch for these 10 red flags before a scam: 1. Overpromising and talking big. 2. Constant media presence—news, social media, interviews. 3. Magnifying small developments. 4. Frequent fundraises without clarity on deployment. 5. Diversifying into unrelated businesses to ride trends. 6. Overusing flashy buzzwords like ‘AI-powered’ or ‘disruptive’. 7. Lavish promoter lifestyles not matching company performance. 8. High levels of promoter pledging. 9. Frequent exits of key personnel (CFOs, auditors, CXOs). 10. Excessive related-party transactions. Stay curious. Stay cautious.
- As per market veteran, over the last 6 months, I observed: 1. Hesitation in booking profits or losses. 2. Delayed portfolio reshuffling decisions. 3. Knowledge without action. 4. Lethargy in completing tasks. 5. Lack of communication or follow-ups. 6. Immediate change of mind after unprofessional opinions, leading to missed opportunities. 7. No clear plan to infuse fresh funds. 8. No structured approach, either in equity or mutual funds—just going with the flow. What to do? 1. Change your mindset. 2. Make quick decisions. 3. React swiftly. 4. Complete tasks and stay focused in the market
- Thursday's market: A textbook “gap down, strong rebound.” After a slight morning dip, mainly due to IT sector pressure, the market surged, with BSE Sensex up by 1509 points (78,553) and Nifty 50 up by 414 points (23,852), marking a 1.77% gain. The rebound signals growing investor confidence and India’s economic resilience. Nifty rose 8.84% in just 7 days, with 4 sessions left for April expiry. Bulls or bears to take charge?
- Gold’s price movement: It took 38 years to rise from $35/oz to $1,000/oz, 12 years to reach $2,000/oz, and only 4 years to hit $3,000.
- As per astrology view, some important turning dates are 21, 25 & 28th April & 2nd May 2025.
- In 5TH April MTTs, Ajanta Soya given at Rs.43 touched Rs.50, Akar Auto given at Rs.91 touched Rs.103 & still at Rs.101 looks very good, Alkyl Amines given at Rs.1617 touched Rs.1915 & still at Rs.1888 looks good, Aries Agro given at Rs.254 touched at Rs.276, Bajaj Steel given at Rs.707 touched Rs.870, Chennai Ferrous Ind. given at Rs.102 touched Rs.118, Donear Industries given at Rs.105 touched Rs.125, Dynemic Products given at Rs.262 touched Rs.315, Gujarat Intrux given at Rs.427 touched Rs.475, Gulf Petro given at Rs.37 touched Rs.41 & still now at Rs.40 looks very good, Indo Amines given at Rs.115 touched Rs.144, India Pesticides given at Rs.134 touched Rs.144 & still looks very good, IOLCP given at Rs.61 touched Rs.69, Loyal Equipments given at Rs.221 touched Rs.239 & again still at Rs.221 looks very good, Northern Spirits given at Rs.150 touched Rs.179, NSE SME Rulka Electricals given at Rs.132 touched Rs.190, Samrat Pharmachem given at Rs.313 touched Rs.358 & still at Rs.340 looks very good, SNL Bearings given at Rs.360 touched Rs.379 & now at Rs.376 looks very good, Smruthi Organics given at Rs.110 touched Rs.121 & still at Rs.118 looks very good, Somi Conveyor Beltings given at Rs.178 touched Rs.207 & still at Rs.187 looks very good, Thakkers Developers given at Rs.169 touched Rs.215 & still at Rs.208 looks very good, Tirupati Starch Chemicals given at Rs.184 touched Rs.189 & now at Rs.178 looks very good, Zenith Fibers given at Rs.71 touched Rs.77 & now at Rs.74 looks very good. Himadri Speciality given at Rs.434 touched Rs.469 & still looks good, Mafatlal Inds. given at Rs.130 touched Rs.139 & still at Rs.136 looks good, SNL Bearings given at Rs.359 touched Rs.379 & still at Rs.376 looks very good.
- In 12th April MTTs Akar Auto given at Rs.98 touched Rs.103 & still at Rs.101 looks good, Dynemic Products given at Rs.278 touched Rs.315, Fredun Pharma given at Rs.654 touched Rs.685 & still at Rs.668 looks very good, Gulf Petro given at Rs.38 touched Rs.40 & still looks very good, GIPCL given at Rs.177 touched Rs.194, Hindustan Aeronautics given at Rs.4107 touched Rs.4251 & still at Rs.4218 looks very good, IFB Inds. given at Rs.1290 touched Rs.1380, Ruchira Papers given at Rs.121 touched Rs.129, SNL Bearings given at Rs.363 touched Rs.379 & still at Rs.376 looks very good, Smruthi Organics given at Rs.116 touched Rs.121 & now at Rs.118 looks good, Somi Conveyor Beltings given at Rs.172 touched Rs.207 & still at Rs.187 looks very good, Sree Rayalaseema Hi-Strength given at Rs.499 touched Rs.552, TGVSL given at Rs.97 touched Rs.104, Tirupati Starch given at Rs.182 touched Rs.189 & still at Rs.178 looks very good, Thakkers Developers given at Rs.198 touched Rs.215 & still now at Rs.208 looks very good.