Hormuz Risk Alert: Rising geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz have raised concerns over global oil supply stability. Reports suggest tighter control measures involving the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, which could affect shipping and raise transportation costs. Given India’s heavy dependence on imported oil, any prolonged disruption in this region could significantly impact inflation, trade balance and overall economic stability.

Goldman Sachs has reportedly downgraded India to “market weight” and reduced its Nifty 50 target to 25,900 from 29,300. Key reasons cited include elevated oil prices, weak foreign institutional investor flows and continued pressure on the Indian Rupee.

Dark side of stock market/long term investment without constant monitoring:  If you had invested Rs.1 crore 10 years ago in 1. Yes Bank = Rs.3-4 lakh. 2. Reliance Communications = Rs.0. 3. DHFL = Rs.0. 4. Suzlon Energy = ~ Rs.7-9 lakh. 5. Vodafone Idea = Rs.4–5 lakh. 6. PC Jeweller = ~ Rs.3–4 lakh. 7. JP Associates = ~ Rs.2–3 lakh. 8. Unitech = ~ Rs.50,000. 9. Gitanjali Gems = Rs.0. 10. Cox & Kings = Rs.0.

As per astrology view, some important turning dates are 30th March and 2nd, 7th, 9th, 13th and 15th April 2026.        

As per market grapevine, many equity mutual funds delivered negative returns in FY25–26. After sharp declines of 20–90% in many stocks, several investors are reportedly shifting money from equities and mutual funds to bank FD, PPF, debt funds and government small saving schemes. Investor caution has risen sharply after the recent market correction.

Alert: As per market grapevine, if crude prices do not cool, Nifty 50 may break strong support of 22800 before March-end. Investors may prefer PPF over ELSS in March closing. If crude and gas prices remain high for 5–10 days, inflation may surge and negative impact

IPO dreams sold at the top: Physicswalla 50% down. Olaelectric 85% down. Firstcry 71% down. Swiggy 52% down. Meesho 43% down & many 100+ IPOs now in huge down.

As per market grapevine, mutual fund investors may have provided exit liquidity to FIIs at higher levels, leaving portfolios under pressure. SIP inflows continue, but many investors are shifting funds to FDs, PPF, debt funds, gold and silver amid weak returns and rising frustration.

Alert Asian crude benchmarks like Oman and Dubai are outperforming Brent and WTI, indicating a shift in global oil pricing power towards Asia. This reflects tightening supply dynamics and higher dependence on Middle East flows, which may lead to rising import costs, higher inflation sensitivity and continued geopolitical-driven volatility.

Negative Iranian lawmakers are considering toll and tax on ships passing through Hormuz Strait, which may increase import-export costs globally.